predicting a cat 4 storm by tuesday
Anonymous
29 Aug 2019 22:03:29 UTC
Topic 219501
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I was hoping to escape this one but it does not look like we will. Dorian is headed right for Melbourne Florida. A cat 4's winds and storm surge can be quite serious. I will be getting out of its way and hanging out in Orlando where the winds by Wed could still be a CAT 1. Put all the shutters up that I have. There is nothing more I or others can do. Will be shutting down computers/power and shutting off the water when I leave.
robl wrote:I was hoping to
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Sounds like a good plan!!! Stay safe and when it's over get back and start crunching again, no need to keep things going and staying home with a storm of that intensity coming your way!! We need you long term, short term we will all muddle thru without you!!
robl wrote:I was hoping to
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Safety first. Everything else is secondary.
You are right. I don't
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You are right. I don't recommend that anyone ride out one of these especially near the ocean. More people are killed by drowning. It is just a bad idea to stay.
because of the difficulty in
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because of the difficulty in predicting Dorian I cancelled my hotel reservation. I was scheduled to check out of my orlando hotel on tuesday and return home. unfortunately tuesday and wednesday were to be really bad. now however the storm track is moving further east (away from Florida) so I cancelled the hotel and will stay home. The storm now however is approaching a CAT 5 (current winds at 150). I can only hope it stays off the coast and that the winds drop. I would not want to ride out a CAT 4/5 storm this close to the Atlantic.
Mikey it is heading your way so stay safe.
robl wrote:because of the
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I am!! One of the predictions, Ventusky?, shows it coming ashore on top of me, but most show it staying at sea and going up past Wilmington, NC which is 40 miles North of me as a Cat 2 storm. I'm 30 feet above sea level so storm surge isn't an issue and I've ridden out a Cat 2 before so would stay for that. I'm also 1.5 miles inland from the ocean as the crow flies so if it's out to sea as a Cat 2 I'm okay. Last years Hurricane came ashore very near Wilmington, NC and I was just fine, I know each storm is different and we will leave if conditions warrant it.
what a pain. leaving for the
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what a pain. leaving for the second time.
robl wrote:what a pain.
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I hope it's just a short trip and it misses you COMPLETELY!!
just got back from Orlando an
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just got back from Orlando an hour ago. We along the East coast of Florida were extremely lucky. But this storm was the most stressful storm I have experienced - 8 days of "where is it going". And there is another off the coast of Africa moving West.
robl wrote:just got back from
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The outer bands have now started raining on me, they are saying 5 to 15 inches or rain total depending on many factors, we had 9 inches of rain overnight a couple of weeks ago so we will be fine as far as the rain goes. The storm is back up to a category 3 but should still be down to a 2 or even a 1 as it passes by me today and tonight. My house is built to withstand a 3 but I do have some shutters that I couldn't take down that aren't, I may end up replacing them depending on the wind strength.